Tuesday 20 October

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#LatinAmerica

  1. Datafolha runoff poll: Lula 47%, Flávio Bolsonaro 45%, within the margin of error
  2. First round: Lula 40%, Bolsonaro 36%, both well short of the 50% needed to win
  3. Voting is on 4 October, with a runoff on 25 October if needed
Gist Reel

Politics · 2 min read

Brazil election: Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro neck and neck before 4 October

A Datafolha poll gives Lula 47% and Flávio Bolsonaro 45% in a likely runoff, a statistical tie with Brazil's first round less than a week away.

Brazil goes to the polls on Sunday 4 October, and the presidential race could hardly be tighter. A Datafolha poll published on 24 September puts President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on 47% in a head-to-head runoff, against 45% for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. With a margin of error of two percentage points, pollsters call that a technical tie. Datafolha surveyed…

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